Buy AB InBev and profit as the herd follows

Buy AB InBev and profit as the herd follows

AB InBev (ANH:JSE) has steadily fallen from it’s R2,000 high in Feb 2016 down below R1,100 today. The fall is as a result of them processing the massive take-over of SAB, the Rand strengthening and the market pricing in a dividend cut in the full-year results to December. 

 

ANH’s emerging market exposure will provide it with superior growth over the long-term, and with Trump likely to strike a trade deal with China, we could see shares with emerging market exposure gain favour soon. With many international asset managers underweight EMs, there could be a rush into stocks like ANH.  

Buy AB InBev below R1,100 for a move to R1,500 over the coming months 

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Last week’s Movers and Shakers 

  

The week ahead: 

  • Local Data:  Mining and Manufacturing: Production and Sales (08/11) 
  • Results Due AYO, GAI (06/11); AEE, SDC (07/11); ILU, MZR, PPE, REB, SSK (08/11); CMO, NFP, NVS, REN, CFR, TKG, TDH (09/11) 
  • LDT (06/11): ACT, ALP, CRG, OCT, PSG, SEA 

 

Other Economic data releases of interest… 

 

  • Tuesday: RBA Rate Statement (AUS), Congressional Elections (USA) 
  • Wednesday: Unemployment Rate, Inflation Expectations, Official Cash Rate, RBNZ Monetary Policy Statement (NZL) 
  • Thursday: RBNZ Press Conference (NZL); FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate (USA) 
  • Friday: RBA Monetary Policy Statement (AUS); GDP, Manufacturing Production (UK); PPI (USA) 

 

 Short Term Ideas 

  • Goldfields: 14.87% open gain, Target remains R45.25, stop loss remains a daily close below R38.25 

 

Long Term Ideas 

  • Richemont: Results due Friday. Buy dips below R105.00. Target R130.00 
  • Dischem: Up 7.84%, and target of R37.05 remains in place. 
  • Lewis: Bouncing nicely, open gain 18.63%. Place stop loss at R32.00 
  • Remgro: Moving higher, buy dips below R200.  
  • Coronation: Buy dips below R50.00 for a move back to R80 
  • Shoprite: A break above R200 is needed to curb further declines. Hold. 
  • Aspen: Bottoming out. Add below R165.00, keep exposure appropriate. 
  • Sygnia: Trading below R8. Add 
  • MTN: A break above R90 targets R100. Hold  
  • Glencore: Bounced strongly above R60.00. Hold 
  • Naspers: Strong rally from below R2,500 on MSCI announcement. Hold 

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